Climate Change Projections

>  North Central CMA

The CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) have released climate change projections for Australia that provide updated national and regional information on how the climate may change to the end of the 21st century (CSIRO, 2015).

The detailed projections help inform the impact assessment and planning required in the natural resource management sector. A summary of the projected changes in climate are outlined in Table 1.

Table 1 Climate projections for the North Central region (CSIRO and BoM, January 2015).

Climate projections for the North Central region

Level of confidence

Average temperatures will continue to increase in all seasons

Very high

More hot days and warm spells

Very high

Fewer, but possibly damaging, frosts


By late in the century, less rainfall during the cool season


Rainfall will remain unchanged in the warm season


Even though mean annual rainfall is projected to decline, heavy rainfall intensity is projected to increase


A harsher fire-weather climate in the future



Further information on the Climate Change Projections can be found at: